Forrester’s global sovereignty forecast for 2025 to 2030 focuses on a major policy and technology shift: more governments are treating control over digital systems and strategic industries as a national priority. In many markets, technological sovereignty has been presented as a push for greater independence, especially in areas tied to security, economic resilience and public services.
That approach is already shaping public investment. Governments have poured significant funding into sovereign cloud programs, national AI initiatives, semiconductor manufacturing and other critical infrastructure. The forecast points to a period in which states are likely to keep expanding their role in technology planning, procurement and regulation as they try to reduce exposure to external risks.
The topic also reflects a broader tension in the global tech economy. While countries want stronger domestic capability and more control over data, platforms and supply chains, many digital and industrial systems still depend on international partners. For businesses, that creates a more complex landscape around compliance, localization, infrastructure choices and market access.
From 2025 through 2030, the sovereignty debate is expected to remain central to how governments and companies think about cloud, AI, chips and essential systems. Forrester’s outlook underscores that sovereignty is no longer a niche policy issue, but a core factor in technology strategy and long-term competitiveness.
