Israel is set to hold a national election on October 27 in a vote that could reshape the country’s leadership after one of its most turbulent periods in years. It will be the first election since the October 7, 2023 Hamas attack, an event that led Israel into conflicts involving Gaza, Lebanon and Iran.

Polls cited ahead of the vote suggest Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is heading toward a clear defeat. His long-established reputation on security has been badly weakened by the October 7 attacks, making this election a direct test of whether voters still trust him to lead during a period of war and regional instability.

The campaign is also drawing attention to Israel’s election system and the rival political camps trying to replace or retain power. In practice, the result is likely to be judged not only by which party or leader performs best, but by who is in the strongest position to assemble a governing coalition after the ballots are counted.

What is at stake goes beyond a routine change of government. The October 27 election is shaping up as a verdict on wartime leadership, national security and Israel’s political direction after months of conflict at home and across the region.