The Conservatives say immigration is set to leave British workers worse off by pushing down pay, with the average employee facing a hit of roughly £2,500 a year by 2031. The claim is based on analysis cited by the party, which argues that higher migration will suppress wage growth across the UK labour market.
According to the figures highlighted by the Tories, UK workers would lose a combined £89.8 billion in wages over the next five years. The party says that would amount to about £2,521 a year for the average worker, presenting the issue as a direct cost to household incomes rather than only a broader economic debate.
The analysis described in the report concludes that immigration will drive down salaries and leave the average Briton poorer over time. That argument is likely to feed into wider political disputes over border policy, jobs and living standards, especially as parties try to connect migration with everyday financial pressures.
While the figures are being used by the Conservatives to make their case, the central message is clear: the party wants to frame immigration as a wage issue for UK workers. The claim adds another layer to the ongoing national argument over how migration affects pay, public services and the wider economy.