Barclays says the next stage for equity markets is likely to be decided by two major forces: earnings from the biggest technology companies and a round of central bank meetings. The bank’s view suggests that summer trading will depend on whether corporate results and policy signals continue to support investor confidence.

Big Tech earnings are especially important because the largest technology names have played a major role in driving broader market performance. If those companies deliver strong results and steady outlooks, that could help sustain momentum. If earnings disappoint or guidance weakens, pressure on major indexes could build quickly.

At the same time, investors are watching central banks for fresh clues on interest rates, inflation and the broader economic outlook. Even without immediate policy changes, the tone from policymakers can shift expectations for borrowing costs and growth, which in turn can move stocks.

Barclays’ assessment points to a market that may stay highly sensitive to both earnings headlines and monetary policy messaging through the summer. Rather than a single event setting the tone, the bank sees the combination of Big Tech performance and central bank decisions as the key driver for what comes next.