Saudi Arabia’s economy recorded its deepest quarterly decline since the Covid-19 period, with pressure building around the kingdom’s most important industry: oil. The downturn comes as the conflict involving the US, Israel and Iran creates new risks for energy shipments and regional trade.

Oil exports remain central to Saudi economic activity, so any disruption tied to war in the Middle East can quickly weigh on growth. Heightened tension around supply routes, production flows and broader market stability has added to the strain on the country’s energy-driven economy.

The latest contraction highlights how exposed Saudi Arabia remains to shocks in the oil market, even as it continues efforts to broaden its economic base. When the oil sector faces uncertainty, the effects can spread across government revenue, investment plans and overall business confidence.

The scale of the decline makes it the sharpest quarterly setback for the kingdom since 2020, underlining how quickly geopolitical turmoil can affect major exporters. With the regional conflict still casting a shadow over energy trade, Saudi Arabia’s economic outlook is likely to remain closely tied to developments in the oil market.