Australia’s system for taxing gas production is facing renewed scrutiny as critics argue it no longer reflects the scale or profitability of the country’s LNG export industry. The debate has sharpened after export earnings climbed to more than A$90 billion in 2022-23 during the global energy shock that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, before easing to about $65 billion in 2024-25.

The core concern is that the current framework was designed for an earlier era and does not capture enough value for the public when export prices surge. In practice, that means companies can benefit from strong global demand and high prices while government revenue does not rise in step. Opponents of the existing model say this leaves Australians with too small a return from a major natural resource.

The issue is not simply the recent fall in export earnings, but the broader mismatch between the tax system and the modern LNG market. Australia remains a major exporter, yet the existing approach is being portrayed as too slow, too narrow or too generous to producers when large profits are being made. That has fueled calls to rethink how gas projects are taxed so the public share better reflects export performance.

The wider policy question is whether Australia’s resource taxation settings are fit for current market conditions. As gas continues to play a central role in export income, the argument is growing that a legacy tax structure cannot deliver a fair outcome on its own. Any reform debate is likely to focus on how to balance investment incentives with stronger returns from the country’s vast gas exports.